Investment Musings
Macro & markets

Most market commentary
can never be wrong.

Macro and markets for institutional investors. I write down what would prove me wrong – before the market does.

Free. A handful of essays a month – each with a thesis you can hold me to.

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Recent essays

The latest from the newsletter.

17 Jun 2026

Below cost

Kevin Warsh wants to kill inflation. The convenient way would be AI doing the job for him.

14 Jun 2026

The Price of Calm

On volatility suppression, the AI build-out, and the trouble with being right once

10 Jun 2026

Special Edition – The Test Starts

Investment Musings – Special Edition, 10 June 2026

The podcast

Markets, capital, and the thinking behind the calls.

Investment Musings

The podcast companion to the newsletter: markets, capital, and the stories behind the numbers.

Worth reading

Articles and reading I think are worth your time.

Reuters

The future of AI may be small, cheap and unprofitable

A study argues small models on everyday hardware could handle most of what large models do today – leaving the future of AI cheaper, and far less profitable, than investors expect.

Investing.com

ECB may hike rates again despite weak growth – BofA

Bank of America thinks the ECB could raise rates further even with subdued eurozone growth, as policymakers stay focused on upside inflation risks.

Aswath Damodaran

SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic: The S&P 500 Inclusion Question and Investment Consequences!

Damodaran weighs whether three AI-era giants belong in the S&P 500, and what passive index inclusion would mean for their valuations and for investors.

About

Nuno Amado Mendes, CFA

Nuno Amado Mendes, CFA

Head of Corporate Finance at Feel Group and former CIO of a London single-family office. Background in derivatives, structured products, trading and research across Santander, Novo Banco and BES. Investment Musings is where I write down what I think – and what would prove me wrong.

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